Christian Morecraft vs Pat Barry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record8-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
261 lbsWeight237 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamTeam Death Clutch
What's at stake
Christian Morecraft is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Pat Barry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1649
If they lose-21→ 1617
If they win+21→ 1546
If they lose-11→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian MorecraftPat Barry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Morecraft72%
Pat Barry 28%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Morecraft a 72% favorite over Pat Barry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Christian Morecraft holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1525, a 113-point edge.
Pat Barry enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christian Morecraft finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Pat Barry 88%.
Christian Morecraft and Pat Barry share 1 common opponent: Stefan Struve.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.