Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Rodriguez vs Jonathan Pearce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record14-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
71″Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
RoufusportTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Christian Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Pearce carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian RodriguezNow 1696
If they win+14→ 1710
If they lose-18→ 1678
Jonathan PearceNow 1650
If they win+18→ 1668
If they lose-14→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
5.12
50%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.32
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.75
Takedown avg.
5.02
41%
Takedown accuracy
50%
67%
Takedown defense
56%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Christian RodriguezJonathan Pearce
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
5 (38%)
Submission
2 (14%)
5 (38%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Rodriguez80%
Jonathan Pearce 20%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Rodriguez a 80% favorite over Jonathan Pearce in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Christian Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1650, a 46-point edge.

Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Christian Rodriguez finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Pearce 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.