Christopher Alvidrez vs Francisco Prado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1683
If they lose-25→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christopher AlvidrezFrancisco Prado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Prado53%
Christopher Alvidrez 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 53% favorite over Christopher Alvidrez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christopher Alvidrez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1652), separated by just 8 points.
Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christopher Alvidrez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Prado 100%.
Christopher Alvidrez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.