Christopher Alvidrez vs Gabriel Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1618 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1692
If they lose-24→ 1644
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christopher AlvidrezGabriel Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius53%
Christopher Alvidrez 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 53% favorite over Christopher Alvidrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.
Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Christopher Alvidrez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Vinicius 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.