Christopher Alvidrez vs Zak Ottow
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record20-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"Reach40,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1684
If they lose-24→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christopher AlvidrezZak Ottow
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christopher Alvidrez70%
Zak Ottow 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Alvidrez a 70% favorite over Zak Ottow in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1660), separated by just 0 points.
Christopher Alvidrez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Christopher Alvidrez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Zak Ottow 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.