Christopher Bajo vs Daichi Abe
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Christopher Bajo55%
Daichi Abe 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christopher Bajo a 55% favorite over Daichi Abe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1551), separated by just 0 points.
Christopher Bajo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Daichi Abe 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-4-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Malmö Muay ThaiTeamFreelance· 1571 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christopher BajoDaichi Abe