Combat Edge Intelligence

Christos Giagos vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-12-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Black HouseTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Thiago Moisés is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Christos Giagos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+14→ 1625
If they lose-10→ 1601
Thiago MoisésNow 1683
If they win+10→ 1693
If they lose-14→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.03
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
51%
Strike defense
53%
2.84
Takedown avg.
1.31
37%
Takedown accuracy
36%
52%
Takedown defense
53%
0.39
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Christos GiagosThiago Moisés
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
4 (20%)
Submission
8 (42%)
8 (40%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Moisés73%
Christos Giagos 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Moisés a 73% favorite over Christos Giagos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Thiago Moisés holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1611, a 72-point edge.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Christos Giagos finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.