Ciaran Clarke vs Dean Garnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam McHale
What's at stake
Ciaran Clarke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dean Garnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1682
If they lose-18→ 1650
If they win+18→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ciaran ClarkeDean Garnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ciaran Clarke60%
Dean Garnett 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ciaran Clarke a 60% favorite over Dean Garnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ciaran Clarke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1627, a 41-point edge.
Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.
Ciaran Clarke and Dean Garnett share 1 common opponent: Tuomas Grönvall.
Ciaran Clarke carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025