Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciaran Clarke vs Dean Garnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

Ciaran Clarke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dean Garnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ciaran ClarkeNow 1669
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-17→ 1652
Dean GarnettNow 1637
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-15→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ciaran ClarkeDean Garnett
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
5 (50%)
Submission
6 (40%)
4 (40%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ciaran Clarke56%
Dean Garnett 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ciaran Clarke a 56% favorite over Dean Garnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ciaran Clarke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1637, a 32-point edge.

Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.

Ciaran Clarke and Dean Garnett share 1 common opponent: Tuomas Grönvall.

Ciaran Clarke carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Tuomas Grönvall
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025