Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciaran Clarke vs Muin Gafurov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record20-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTaj-Fighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciaran ClarkeNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Muin GafurovNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.89
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.21
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
26%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ciaran ClarkeMuin Gafurov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
7 (35%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ciaran Clarke and Muin Gafurov within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1668), separated by just 0 points.

Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Muin Gafurov 85%.

Muin Gafurov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.