Combat Edge Intelligence

Cj Vergara vs Daniel Barez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-1Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68" Reach66"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cj VergaraNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Daniel BarezNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.10
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
57%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.95
53%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
61%
Takedown defense
80%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Cj VergaraDaniel Barez
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (35%)
5 (42%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Daniel Barez60%
Cj Vergara 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Barez a 60% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cj Vergara's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1594), separated by just 3 points.

Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Barez 76%.

Cj Vergara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.