Cj Vergara vs Daniel Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68" Reach70"
127 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Cj Vergara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Daniel Lacerda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1610
If they lose-20→ 1578
If they win+20→ 1527
If they lose-12→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cj VergaraDaniel Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cj Vergara59%
Daniel Lacerda 41%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Cj Vergara a 59% favorite over Daniel Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Cj Vergara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1507, a 91-point edge.
Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Lacerda 100%.
Cj Vergara and Daniel Lacerda share 1 common opponent: Edgar Cháirez.
Daniel Lacerda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.