Cj Vergara vs Edgar Cháirez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record14-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68" Reach71"
127 lbsWeight131 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Edgar Cháirez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cj Vergara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1616
If they lose-13→ 1584
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-19→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cj VergaraEdgar Cháirez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edgar Cháirez76%
Cj Vergara 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Edgar Cháirez a 76% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Edgar Cháirez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1597, a 55-point edge.
Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Edgar Cháirez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Edgar Cháirez 93%.
Cj Vergara and Edgar Cháirez share 2 common opponents: Daniel Lacerda and Tatsuro Taira.
Edgar Cháirez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.