Cj Vergara vs Tatsuro Taira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-1Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68" Reach70"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pete Spratt American Muay ThaiTeamThe Blackbelt Japan
What's at stake
Tatsuro Taira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cj Vergara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1621
If they lose-8→ 1589
If they win+8→ 1798
If they lose-24→ 1766
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cj VergaraTatsuro Taira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatsuro Taira92%
Cj Vergara 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatsuro Taira a 92% favorite over Cj Vergara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Tatsuro Taira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1790 to 1597, a 193-point edge.
Cj Vergara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cj Vergara finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.
Cj Vergara and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Edgar Cháirez.
Tatsuro Taira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.