Claudia Gadelha vs Cortney Casey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record10-10-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Claudia Gadelha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cortney Casey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1709
If they lose-22→ 1677
If they win+22→ 1593
If they lose-10→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Claudia GadelhaCortney Casey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Claudia Gadelha78%
Cortney Casey 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Gadelha a 78% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Claudia Gadelha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1571, a 128-point edge.
Claudia Gadelha finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Cortney Casey 70%.
Claudia Gadelha and Cortney Casey share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.