Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudia Gadelha vs Joanna Jędrzejczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record16-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Claudia GadelhaNow 1699
If they win+15→ 1714
If they lose-17→ 1682
Joanna JędrzejczykNow 1686
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
6.28
42%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.25
57%
Strike defense
63%
3.03
Takedown avg.
0.27
43%
Takedown accuracy
63%
59%
Takedown defense
80%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.05

Trajectory

Claudia GadelhaJoanna Jędrzejczyk
17002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
7 (39%)
Submission
1 (6%)
9 (50%)
Decision
11 (69%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudia Gadelha60%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Gadelha a 60% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1699 vs 1686), separated by just 13 points.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Claudia Gadelha finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joanna Jędrzejczyk 31%.

Claudia Gadelha and Joanna Jędrzejczyk share 2 common opponents: Jéssica Andrade and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDEC · 2017
Jéssica Andrade
WinDEC · 2017
WinSUB · 2017
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
WinDEC · 2016