Claudia Gadelha vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record16-10-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
TBDReach 64"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Claudia Gadelha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Karolina Kowalkiewicz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-19→ 1680
If they win+14→ 1645
If they lose-10→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Claudia GadelhaKarolina Kowalkiewicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Claudia Gadelha78%
Karolina Kowalkiewicz 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Gadelha a 78% favorite over Karolina Kowalkiewicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Claudia Gadelha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1631, a 68-point edge.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Claudia Gadelha finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Karolina Kowalkiewicz 25%.
Claudia Gadelha and Karolina Kowalkiewicz share 1 common opponent: Xiaonan Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.