Combat Edge Intelligence

Claudia Gadelha vs Nina Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReach64"
115 lbsWeight126 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamLioness Studio

What's at stake

Claudia Gadelha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nina Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Claudia GadelhaNow 1699
If they win+11→ 1710
If they lose-21→ 1678
Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+21→ 1610
If they lose-11→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
4.39
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
57%
Strike defense
56%
3.03
Takedown avg.
0.24
43%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
74%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Claudia GadelhaNina Nunes
1600165017002019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
7 (39%)
Submission
2 (18%)
9 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Claudia Gadelha78%
Nina Nunes 22%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Claudia Gadelha a 78% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Claudia Gadelha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1699 to 1589, a 110-point edge.

Claudia Gadelha finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nina Nunes 55%.

Claudia Gadelha and Nina Nunes share 2 common opponents: Angela Hill and Randa Markos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Randa Markos
WinDEC · 2018
WinDecision (split) · 2020
Angela Hill
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2017