Claudia Gadelha vs Xiaonan Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record19-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Luttrell-Yee MMATeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Xiaonan Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Claudia Gadelha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1685
If they win+14→ 1748
If they lose-18→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Claudia GadelhaXiaonan Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Xiaonan Yan60%
Claudia Gadelha 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Xiaonan Yan a 60% favorite over Claudia Gadelha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Xiaonan Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1699, a 35-point edge.
Claudia Gadelha finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Xiaonan Yan 47%.
Claudia Gadelha and Xiaonan Yan share 4 common opponents: Angela Hill, Carla Esparza, Jéssica Andrade and Karolina Kowalkiewicz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.