Claudio Ribeiro vs Joseph Holmes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'4"
77,0"Reach 80"
185 lbsWeight189 lbs
What's at stake
Claudio Ribeiro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Joseph Holmes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1639
If they lose-17→ 1607
If they win+17→ 1611
If they lose-15→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Claudio RibeiroJoseph Holmes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Holmes58%
Claudio Ribeiro 42%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Holmes a 58% favorite over Claudio Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Claudio Ribeiro's way (46%).
Claudio Ribeiro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1624 to 1594, a 30-point edge.
Claudio Ribeiro enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joseph Holmes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Claudio Ribeiro finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Holmes 100%.
Joseph Holmes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.