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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Chovancek vs Jafel Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Chovancek
ca

Cody Chovancek

“The Best Fisherman in MMA”

9-1-0BantamweightUFC

1671Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Niagara Top Team· 1665 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody ChovancekNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Jafel FilhoNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
50%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
52%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
2.52
Not available
Takedown accuracy
45%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
2.24

Trajectory

Cody ChovancekJafel Filho
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
2 (22%)
Submission
11 (65%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Jafel Filho51%
Cody Chovancek 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jafel Filho a 51% favorite over Cody Chovancek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Chovancek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Cody Chovancek finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.