Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Chovancek vs Michinori Tanaka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Chovancek
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Cody Chovancek

“The Best Fisherman in MMA”

9-0-0BantamweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach67,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Niagara Top TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody ChovancekNow 1696
If they win+24→ 1720
If they lose-24→ 1672
Michinori TanakaNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.85
Sig. strikes / min
1.97
50%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
52%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
2.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
83%
Takedown defense
44%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Cody ChovancekMichinori Tanaka
1600165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (22%)
Submission
6 (38%)
3 (33%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Chovancek60%
Michinori Tanaka 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Chovancek a 60% favorite over Michinori Tanaka in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michinori Tanaka's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1699), separated by just 3 points.

Cody Chovancek enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Michinori Tanaka enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cody Chovancek finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michinori Tanaka 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.