Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Durden vs Jafel Filho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

18-11-1Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Jafel Filho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody DurdenNow 1625
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-10→ 1615
Jafel FilhoNow 1670
If they win+14→ 1684
If they lose-18→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
51%
Strike defense
50%
3.99
Takedown avg.
2.52
10%
Takedown accuracy
45%
57%
Takedown defense
67%
0.65
Submission avg.
2.24

Trajectory

Cody DurdenJafel Filho
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
6 (33%)
Submission
11 (65%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Jafel Filho56%
Cody Durden 44%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jafel Filho a 56% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jafel Filho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1625, a 45-point edge.

Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.

Cody Durden and Jafel Filho share 1 common opponent: Allan Nascimento.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2025
Allan Nascimento
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025