Cody Durden vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-1Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
Jake Hadley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1638
If they lose-11→ 1614
If they win+15→ 1655
If they lose-17→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cody Durden and Jake Hadley within a point of even.
Jake Hadley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1625, a 15-point edge.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Cody Durden and Jake Hadley share 1 common opponent: Allan Nascimento.
Jake Hadley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.