Cody Durden vs Jake Hadley
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jake Hadley52%
Cody Durden 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Hadley a 52% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1645), separated by just 8 points.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Durden finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Cody Durden and Jake Hadley share 1 common opponent: Allan Nascimento.
Jake Hadley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
19-11-1Record12-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenJake Hadley