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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody East vs Guilherme Pat

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody East
us

Cody East

“The Freight Train”

16-7-0HeavyweightPF

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
74,0"Reach80"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLotus Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody EastNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Guilherme PatNow 1595
If they win+24→ 1619
If they lose-24→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.15
Sig. strikes / min
2.70
43%
Strike accuracy
62%
7.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
40%
Strike defense
52%
3.97
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
17%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cody EastGuilherme Pat
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
3 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody East53%
Guilherme Pat 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody East a 53% favorite over Guilherme Pat in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1595), separated by just 2 points.

Guilherme Pat enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cody East finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Guilherme Pat 67%.

Guilherme Pat carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.