Cody Garbrandt vs Deiveson Figueiredo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record25-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
65" Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTeam Figueiredo
What's at stake
Deiveson Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-9→ 1662
If they win+9→ 1773
If they lose-15→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtDeiveson Figueiredo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Deiveson Figueiredo59%
Cody Garbrandt 41%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Deiveson Figueiredo a 59% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Deiveson Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1764 to 1671, a 93-point edge.
Deiveson Figueiredo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Deiveson Figueiredo 72%.
Cody Garbrandt and Deiveson Figueiredo share 1 common opponent: Rob Font.
Deiveson Figueiredo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.