Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Garbrandt vs Kai Kara-France

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record25-12-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
65" Reach69″
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody GarbrandtNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659
Kai Kara-FranceNow 1678
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
4.56
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
59%
Strike defense
65%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.61
23%
Takedown accuracy
33%
82%
Takedown defense
88%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cody GarbrandtKai Kara-France
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (12%)
4 (27%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Kai Kara-France51%
Cody Garbrandt 49%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kara-France a 51% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1678), separated by just 7 points.

Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.

Kai Kara-France carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.