Cody Garbrandt vs Mehroj Mamadshoev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Cody Garbrandt62%
Mehroj Mamadshoev 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 62% favorite over Mehroj Mamadshoev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mehroj Mamadshoev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Mehroj Mamadshoev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mehroj Mamadshoev 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record9-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
65" Reach-
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1650 avg Elo · 18 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtMehroj Mamadshoev