Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Gibson vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Gibson
us

Cody Gibson

“The Renegade”

21-13-0BantamweightUFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

21-13-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody GibsonNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
Nathan FletcherNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
46%
Strike accuracy
60%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
58%
Strike defense
58%
2.12
Takedown avg.
3.37
14%
Takedown accuracy
31%
70%
Takedown defense
50%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Cody GibsonNathan Fletcher
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
5 (24%)
Submission
7 (64%)
9 (43%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher60%
Cody Gibson 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 60% favorite over Cody Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Gibson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1653), separated by just 0 points.

Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cody Gibson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.