Cole Smith vs Ryoto Nishiyama
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
41,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cole SmithRyoto Nishiyama
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryoto Nishiyama57%
Cole Smith 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryoto Nishiyama a 57% favorite over Cole Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.
Cole Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryoto Nishiyama enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Cole Smith finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ryoto Nishiyama 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.