Connor Hughes vs Kelton Sneve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record7-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA Academy Liverpool· 1632 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLeading Edge MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Connor HughesKelton Sneve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Connor Hughes55%
Kelton Sneve 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Connor Hughes a 55% favorite over Kelton Sneve in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kelton Sneve's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.
Connor Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kelton Sneve enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Connor Hughes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Kelton Sneve 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.