Conor McCarthy vs Matt Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record24-19-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach75"
158 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Conor McCarthyMatt Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Brown62%
Conor McCarthy 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Brown a 62% favorite over Conor McCarthy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.
Conor McCarthy finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Matt Brown 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.