Corey Anderson vs Magomed Ankalaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Corey Anderson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1801
If they lose-10→ 1777
If they win+13→ 1861
If they lose-19→ 1829
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Corey AndersonMagomed Ankalaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Ankalaev70%
Corey Anderson 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 70% favorite over Corey Anderson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1787, a 61-point edge.
Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.
Corey Anderson and Magomed Ankalaev share 2 common opponents: Jan Błachowicz and Johnny Walker.
Corey Anderson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.