Combat Edge Intelligence

Cornel Thompson vs Jamie Mullarkey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
68"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamBangtao Muay Thai & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cornel ThompsonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Jamie MullarkeyNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.20
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.34
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.40
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Cornel ThompsonJamie Mullarkey
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (17%)
9 (82%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cornel Thompson and Jamie Mullarkey within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1631), separated by just 1 points.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Jamie Mullarkey 72%.

Jamie Mullarkey carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.