Cornel Thompson vs Patrick Ocheme
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
What's at stake
Patrick Ocheme is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cornel Thompson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
If they win+14→ 1679
If they lose-18→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cornel ThompsonPatrick Ocheme
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Ocheme65%
Cornel Thompson 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Ocheme a 65% favorite over Cornel Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Patrick Ocheme holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1632, a 33-point edge.
Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Patrick Ocheme enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Ocheme 63%.
Patrick Ocheme carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.