Cortney Casey vs Gillian Robertson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach 63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamThe Goat Shed Academy
What's at stake
Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cortney Casey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1593
If they lose-10→ 1561
If they win+10→ 1721
If they lose-22→ 1689
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cortney CaseyGillian Robertson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gillian Robertson89%
Cortney Casey 11%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 89% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1571, a 140-point edge.
Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Gillian Robertson 71%.
Cortney Casey and Gillian Robertson share 2 common opponents: JJ Aldrich and Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
Cortney Casey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.