Cortney Casey vs Gillian Robertson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record17-9-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach 63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Gillian Robertson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cortney Casey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1592
If they lose-11→ 1560
If they win+8→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cortney CaseyGillian Robertson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gillian Robertson89%
Cortney Casey 11%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 89% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Gillian Robertson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1571, a 124-point edge.
Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Gillian Robertson 71%.
Cortney Casey and Gillian Robertson share 2 common opponents: JJ Aldrich and Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
Cortney Casey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.