Cortney Casey vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record18-13-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'3"
67"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
MMA LabTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1588
If they lose-15→ 1556
If they win+12→ 1594
If they lose-12→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cortney CaseyMichelle Waterson-Gomez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michelle Waterson-Gomez56%
Cortney Casey 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Michelle Waterson-Gomez a 56% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1571 vs 1582), separated by just 11 points.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Cortney Casey finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Michelle Waterson-Gomez 67%.
Cortney Casey and Michelle Waterson-Gomez share 3 common opponents: Gillian Robertson, Angela Hill and Felice Herrig.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.