Cory McKenna vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
58"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory McKennaSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes60%
Cory McKenna 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 60% favorite over Cory McKenna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1605), separated by just 3 points.
Cory McKenna enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cory McKenna finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Cory McKenna and Sam Hughes share 2 common opponents: Jaqueline Amorim and Elise Reed.
Sam Hughes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.