Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Frankie Edgar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach 68"
140 lbsWeight136 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Cory Sandhagen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory SandhagenNow 1753
If they win+10→ 1763
If they lose-14→ 1739
Frankie EdgarNow 1692
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.82
57%
Strike defense
66%
1.15
Takedown avg.
2.29
35%
Takedown accuracy
29%
56%
Takedown defense
66%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenFrankie Edgar
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (17%)
7 (39%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Sandhagen92%
Frankie Edgar 8%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 92% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Cory Sandhagen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1753 to 1692, a 61-point edge.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.

Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar share 1 common opponent: Marlon Vera.

Cory Sandhagen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
Marlon Vera
LossKO · 2021