Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Iuri Alcantara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record35-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach71,0"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMarajo Brothers Team

What's at stake

Cory Sandhagen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Iuri Alcantara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory SandhagenNow 1765
If they win+10→ 1775
If they lose-14→ 1751
Iuri AlcantaraNow 1698
If they win+14→ 1712
If they lose-10→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1771 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.79
57%
Strike defense
49%
1.15
Takedown avg.
1.44
35%
Takedown accuracy
63%
56%
Takedown defense
60%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenIuri Alcantara
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
3 (17%)
Submission
14 (40%)
7 (39%)
Decision
7 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Sandhagen84%
Iuri Alcantara 16%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 84% favorite over Iuri Alcantara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Cory Sandhagen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1698, a 67-point edge.

Iuri Alcantara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Iuri Alcantara 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.