Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs John Lineker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1750Great

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record37-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'3"
70"ReachTBD
140 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cory SandhagenNow 1753
If they win+12→ 1765
If they lose-12→ 1741
John LinekerNow 1750
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
5.36
45%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.15
Takedown avg.
0.56
35%
Takedown accuracy
58%
56%
Takedown defense
68%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenJohn Lineker
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
18 (50%)
3 (17%)
Submission
4 (11%)
7 (39%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Cory Sandhagen72%
John Lineker 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cory Sandhagen a 72% favorite over John Lineker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1753 vs 1750), separated by just 3 points.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.

Cory Sandhagen and John Lineker share 3 common opponents: Rob Font, Marlon Vera and TJ Dillashaw.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision - Split · 2023
Marlon Vera
WinDEC · 2017
LossDecision (split) · 2021
TJ Dillashaw
LossDEC · 2016
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Rob Font
WinDEC · 2016