Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record20-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cory Sandhagen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1767
If they lose-10→ 1743
If they win+13→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1803
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cory SandhagenUmar Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Umar Nurmagomedov70%
Cory Sandhagen 30%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 70% favorite over Cory Sandhagen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1822 to 1753, a 69-point edge.
Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Umar Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.
Cory Sandhagen and Umar Nurmagomedov share 3 common opponents: Mario Bautista, Merab Dvalishvili and Deiveson Figueiredo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.