AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Cory Sandhagen vs Umar Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record20-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
140 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Umar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cory Sandhagen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cory SandhagenNow 1753
If they win+14→ 1767
If they lose-10→ 1743
Umar NurmagomedovNow 1802
If they win+14→ 1816
If they lose-18→ 1784

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
45%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.15
Takedown avg.
4.03
35%
Takedown accuracy
8%
56%
Takedown defense
79%
0.25
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Cory SandhagenUmar Nurmagomedov
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
3 (17%)
Submission
7 (35%)
7 (39%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Umar Nurmagomedov58%
Cory Sandhagen 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 58% favorite over Cory Sandhagen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Umar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1753, a 49-point edge.

Cory Sandhagen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cory Sandhagen finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Umar Nurmagomedov 45%.

Cory Sandhagen and Umar Nurmagomedov share 4 common opponents: Mario Bautista, Merab Dvalishvili, Deiveson Figueiredo and Yadong Song.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinTKO · 2022
Yadong Song
LossKO · 2026
WinTKO · 2025
Deiveson Figueiredo
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Mario Bautista
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Merab Dvalishvili
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025