Court McGee vs Dhiego Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-14-0Record15-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Factory XTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Court McGee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dhiego Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1610
If they lose-14→ 1586
If they win+18→ 1571
If they lose-14→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Court McGeeDhiego Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dhiego Lima52%
Court McGee 48%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Dhiego Lima a 52% favorite over Court McGee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Court McGee's way (43%).
Court McGee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1553, a 47-point edge.
Dhiego Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Court McGee finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Dhiego Lima 53%.
Court McGee and Dhiego Lima share 1 common opponent: Matt Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.