Combat Edge Intelligence

Craig Oxley vs Diego Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record6-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamTeam 360mma

What's at stake

Diego Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Craig Oxley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Craig OxleyNow 1434
If they win+25→ 1459
If they lose-23→ 1411
Diego SantosNow 1449
If they win+15→ 1464
If they lose-17→ 1432

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Craig OxleyDiego Santos
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Diego Santos72%
Craig Oxley 28%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 72% favorite over Craig Oxley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Diego Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1434, a 15-point edge.

Craig Oxley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Diego Santos 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.