Craig Oxley vs Diego Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record6-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
TeamTeam 360mma
What's at stake
Craig Oxley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Diego Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1456
If they lose-26→ 1408
If they win+17→ 1426
If they lose-15→ 1394
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Craig OxleyDiego Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Santos52%
Craig Oxley 48%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Santos a 52% favorite over Craig Oxley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Craig Oxley's way (46%).
Craig Oxley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1434 to 1409, a 25-point edge.
Craig Oxley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Diego Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Diego Santos 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.