Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Pérez vs Thiago Moisés

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record19-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Cristian Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Thiago Moisés carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+15→ 1719
If they lose-17→ 1687
Thiago MoisésNow 1685
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-11→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.31
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Cristian PérezThiago Moisés
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
6 (40%)
Submission
8 (42%)
3 (20%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristian Pérez76%
Thiago Moisés 24%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristian Pérez a 76% favorite over Thiago Moisés in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Cristian Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1685, a 19-point edge.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Thiago Moisés enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cristian Pérez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Moisés 63%.

Cristian Pérez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.