Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Quiñonez vs Kris Moutinho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-0Record14-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamRivera Athletic Center

What's at stake

Cristian Quiñonez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Kris Moutinho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cristian QuiñonezNow 1656
If they win+13→ 1669
If they lose-19→ 1637
Kris MoutinhoNow 1584
If they win+19→ 1603
If they lose-13→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
40%
Strike accuracy
32%
4.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
14.68
55%
Strike defense
29%
1.37
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
84%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cristian QuiñonezKris Moutinho
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
3 (16%)
Submission
3 (21%)
6 (32%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristian Quiñonez67%
Kris Moutinho 33%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristian Quiñonez a 67% favorite over Kris Moutinho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Cristian Quiñonez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1584, a 72-point edge.

Kris Moutinho enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cristian Quiñonez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Kris Moutinho 64%.

Cristian Quiñonez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.