Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Marcello vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
CM SystemTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano MarcelloNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+16→ 1587
If they lose-16→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
34%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
58%
Strike defense
55%
0.57
Takedown avg.
1.09
12%
Takedown accuracy
38%
20%
Takedown defense
69%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Cristiano MarcelloLando Vannata
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
9 (69%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lando Vannata61%
Cristiano Marcello 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lando Vannata a 61% favorite over Cristiano Marcello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Cristiano Marcello enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cristiano Marcello finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.