Cristiano Oliveira vs Yusuf Nazokatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record3-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach-
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
Yusuf Nazokatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Cristiano Oliveira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1500
If they lose-22→ 1452
If they win+22→ 1519
If they lose-26→ 1471
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cristiano OliveiraYusuf Nazokatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cristiano Oliveira53%
Yusuf Nazokatov 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Cristiano Oliveira a 53% favorite over Yusuf Nazokatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yusuf Nazokatov's way (47%).
Yusuf Nazokatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1474, a 23-point edge.
Yusuf Nazokatov 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.