Cub Swanson vs Darren Elkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record29-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Cub Swanson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Darren Elkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1758
If they lose-14→ 1734
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-10→ 1675
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonDarren Elkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cub Swanson62%
Darren Elkins 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Cub Swanson a 62% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Cub Swanson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1748 to 1685, a 63-point edge.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Darren Elkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.
Cub Swanson and Darren Elkins share 2 common opponents: Nate Landwehr and Daniel Pineda.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.