Cub Swanson vs Mairon Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record17-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach 72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFC Gym Costa MesaTeamParana Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+16→ 1772
If they lose-16→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonMairon Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mairon Santos67%
Cub Swanson 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mairon Santos a 67% favorite over Cub Swanson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1756), separated by just 8 points.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mairon Santos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mairon Santos 53%.
Mairon Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.