Cub Swanson vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-14-0Record21-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach72″
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cub SwansonRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Moicano51%
Cub Swanson 49%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 51% favorite over Cub Swanson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cub Swanson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1743), separated by just 5 points.
Cub Swanson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Cub Swanson finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Renato Moicano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.